Economic and agricultural impacts of ethanol and biodiesel by Daniel de la Torre Ugarte; University of Tennessee,

By Daniel de la Torre Ugarte; University of Tennessee, Knoxville. Dept. of Agricultural Economics.; et al

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Ethanol from Specified Feedstock under the ETH60CACD Scenario. 0 2007 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 350 200 150 100 50 0 Corn Wheat Soybeans Hay Cotton Others Ded. Energy Crop Pasture Figure 14. Changes in Land Use for Selected Years Under the ETH60 Scenario. The second important change is the transformation of cropland in pasture into production of both hay and dedicated energy crops. 2 million acres of cropland in pasture would come back into hay, dedicated energy crops, and other crop production.

8. Regional Impacts: Feedstock and Net Returns Thus far the discussion has focused on national changes and trends. Also useful is examination of changes in land use and net returns at a regional level. The following section discusses the regional changes that might occur with increased demand for biofuels. The geographic distribution of the production of cellulosic feedstock for the ETH60 is presented in Figure 16. The temporal and geographic changes in production presented indicate that a significant concentration of the cellulosic feedstock production occurs in the Southeast and Southern regions of the country first, and then moves towards the Midwest and Northern Plains.

The regional changes in soybean acreage are depicted in Figure 15. The areas in orange or darker indicate losses in acreage, while the areas in green indicate gains in acreage from the baseline. In the case of soybeans the major loss of acreage occurs in the plantings of the Southeast and to a lesser extent the Midwest. 2015 2030 Soybean Acreage Change Soybean Acreage Change Over 100 thousand loss Over 100 thousand loss 25 to 100 thousand loss 25 to 100 thousand loss 1 to 25 thousand loss 1 to 25 thousand loss no change no change gain gain Figure 15.

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