Energy: the Countdown. A Report to the Club of Rome: Thierry by Robert Lattès

By Robert Lattès

Strength: The Countdown considers the prospect catastrophic strength concern may well turn into inevitable and will explode even prior to any entire emergency plans are concerted. The target is to elevate with either public opinion and decision-makers the recognition that there exists a true risk to human society within the kind of a looming strength hindrance. This e-book is created from eleven chapters and starts via emphasizing power because the oxygen of financial lifestyles, an important requirement for the advance of contemporary society, and the way a scarcity or hassle of strength assets can heavily endanger the world's monetary improvement. the limitations that would restrict the availability of specific sorts of strength are highlighted, besides the significance of long term making plans. the following part offers with the politics of power, paying specific awareness to the oil obstacle and its influence on diplomacy because October 1973, besides the nuclear energy predicament and the proliferation of nuclear guns. the connection among geopolitics and effort coverage and the character of the strength challenge also are mentioned, including power assets corresponding to coal, common gasoline, and nuclear strength. the ultimate bankruptcy assesses the commercial results of a big raise in oil costs. This monograph may be of curiosity to power policymakers and executive officers.

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Additional resources for Energy: the Countdown. A Report to the Club of Rome: Thierry De Montbrial

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The World Energy Alert 35 The growing interdependence of nations The energy problem is global in space from every point of view. These include: the imbalance between production and consumption areas; potential use of energy as a political weapon; spread of ecological risks; political and military consequences of nuclear programs (proliferation, for example); risks of limitations on trade in sensitive materials (natural uranium) ; risks of energy dependence varying widely by country with their implications; close relationships between the economic development of groups of countries (the O E C D and developing countries, for example) which in turn depends on energy supplies ; possible safeguarding of the planet's oil reserves, perhaps more crucial for certain countries (this could be the case for developing countries given their infrastructures which are far poorer in terms of electric-power and railroad networks, systems of navigable waterways and other facilities); distribution of scientific, technological and human efforts for research and development, prospecting and production of solar, nuclear fusion, deepsea oil and certain applications for coal, for example; and macroeconomic and social imbalances (we have already mentioned the problems of shifting industrial activities).

In addition, these colossal efforts hide such extensive evolution in physical and mental structures that 50 years hardly seems enough for these changes. These are hidden changes, and we have little understanding of their meaning. This very important fact goes unrecognized only too often. Ideal energy forms are not within reach In any event, the debate over energy options can only profit from being less polarized. New energy forms and energy savings are certainly essential, but they do not exclude nuclear as people only too often like to make us believe.

For example, it is far from certain that the suitability of decentralized systems for agriculture in an often rudimentary context also holds for energy, especially for applications and methods of utilization which are both complex and highly sophisticated. Forgetting the present operating requirements of a multitude of existing equipment means neglecting very important constraints. As such, highly decentralized forms of energy would perhaps impose rather severe restrictions on 24 society. According to a recent Swedish r e p o r t , they could necessitate such a high degree of discipline on the part of the citizens that we may wonder about how to obtain this discipline if it is not spontaneously forthcoming.

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