By A.W. Shearer
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In February 2004, the dep. of security published 'An Abrupt weather swap state of affairs and Its Implications for usa nationwide Security.' Written via Peter Schwartz and Doug Randall of consulting enterprise worldwide enterprise community, the research defined a potential destiny with weather conditions just like these 8200 years in the past and speculated on implications relating to the following availability of nutrition, water, and effort. because of media assurance concerning the record, which particularly incorporated misconceptions in regards to the study's intents, the record can have turn into too politically debatable for protection planners to have interaction today and it has it appears no longer been commonly disbursed in the administration's nationwide safeguard body of workers. whatever the document's prestige in the Pentagon, it really is of curiosity to many that are actively interested by discussions concerning the destiny. widely, as with all scenario-based venture, there are questions on how the imaginative and prescient of the longer term has been crafted and, in this case, the way it could most sensible be used to notify a decision-making method. extra narrowly, this actual state of affairs can also be major for on-going debates concerning the position of environmental components in issues of nationwide protection. This paper distinguishes among traditional occasions and human activities to contemplate a few strengths and weaknesses of Schwartz and Randall's textual content. It additionally makes strategies to enhance destiny efforts to appreciate the relationships among weather swap and nationwide protection.
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Extra resources for An Abrupt Climate Change Scenario and Its Implications for United States National Security
3 Others are more pessimistic. They cite earlier crises in which poor intelligence and warning systems may have prompted one side or the other’s military actions and reactions under the mistaken impression that the military situation had deteriorated further than in fact it had. 4 Bangladesh Since 1999, Bangladesh has been seized by political violence that has targeted opposition leaders, writers, journalists, religious minorities, and even secular-minded Muslims. This situation went largely unnoticed until the January 2005 assassination of Shah M.
Robin-bobin robin-bobin CHAPTER THREE Regional Sources of Conflict Many forces work to undermine stability in the region. Of these, the overarching one is the security competition between India and Pakistan. The growing gap between Indian and Pakistani economic development, and especially in their respective military capabilities, creates conditions that bode ill for stability. These two countries also clash over territory—most dangerously, Kashmir—water, and energy. Terrorism, insurgency, autonomy movements, communal strife, and ethnopolitical violence plague Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Nepal, Bhutan, Burma, and Sri Lanka.
Robin-bobin 24 robin-bobin War and Escalation in South Asia claims violates Pakistan’s riparian rights. 7 Civil Wars and Insurgencies These conflicts abound in South Asia. In addition to their impact on the internal security of the states suffering from these struggles, civil wars and insurgencies are a factor affecting regional stability because of outside but local support to some of them. 8 Pakistan has links to the insurgents in Assam, but is also suspected of supporting groups in Afghanistan, Nepal, Bhutan, and Bangladesh.